U.S. Travel Association Warns Of Potential Thanksgiving Disruptions

The U.S. Travel Association has repeatedly and urgently warned that the ongoing federal government shutdown could lead to significant travel chaos during the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday. The current shutdown, which began on October 1, 2025, is now over a month long, causing major strains on the aviation system.

Key concerns and potential impacts include:

Staffing Shortages: Thousands of essential workers, including approximately 13,000 air traffic controllers and 50,000 TSA agents, are working without pay. As the shutdown extends, concerns are mounting that a growing number of these employees may call in sick or not show up for work, exacerbating existing staffing shortages.

Flight Disruptions: Staffing issues have already led to an increase in flight delays nationwide, with reports indicating that staffing problems have been responsible for over 50% of delays recently, compared to a typical 5%. A prolonged shutdown could result in unprecedented delays, cancellations, and lengthier security lines, with some aviation experts warning of a "breaking point" scenario impacting up to 30% of flights.

Additionally, many airports have reduced TSA screenings and there has been a 10% reduction in air traffic in the 40 busiest airports.

Economic Impact: The U.S. Travel Association estimates the travel economy has already lost over $4 billion in spending since the shutdown began, with losses continuing to mount daily. The association's CEO, Geoff Freeman, has stated that the situation is doing "real, irreversible damage" to the industry.

Record Travel Volume: These potential disruptions coincide with expectations of a record-setting Thanksgiving travel season, with high demand for flights and road travel further straining an already stressed system.

Broader Impact: Beyond air travel, other services are at risk, including potential disruptions to Amtrak service and the closure of some national parks and museums, further complicating holiday plans for many Americans.

Industry leaders and government officials, including Vice President JD Vance and Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy, have echoed these warnings, urging Congress to pass a clean continuing resolution to end the standoff and prevent a potential "disaster". What has been holding up deal to end the government shut-down is a negotiated deal to prevent healthcare insurance from substantial increases.